BEST PICTURE
The Social Network - I think The King's Speech would be the safer option, being a prestige-like period piece tailored to the Academy. But The Social Network is more "now", relevant to our times, and besides it's popped up in more Critics' Top 10 lists than any other film last year that I can remember - not that that's any gauge of the voters' tastes, but surely it's a measure of near-universal acclaim. I can definitely see Aaron Sorkin walking away with Best Adapted Screenplay though...BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
James Franco (127 Hours) - he's hosting the ceremony too, so wouldn't it just be swell if he did win?? And the Academy loves a good physically agonizing performance don't they?BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Natalie Portman (Black Swan) - this and Jennifer Lawrence's performance in Winter's Bone kind of blew everyone away, just 'cos they weren't expected. But we can count on Academy boringness to award Annette Benning or Nicole Kidman. Wouldn't mind seeing Michelle Williams winning...BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING
David Fincher (The Social Network) - torn between Aronofsky and Fincher. Aronofsky's Black Swan is wilder and rougher on the edges than Fincher's sleek The Social Network, so I can see the award going to Fincher. But what do I know - I generally get these things horribly wrong, but it's fun to speculate...
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